Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate mostly clear skies, light west winds, and moderate humidity over New York City on the night of August 24-25, favoring radiational cooling and a low in the mid-60s. This aligns with recent nights, including 63°F on August 20-21 and 67°F on August 21-22, under similar high-pressure conditions. The market's close spread between 64-65°F (35.5% implied) and 66-67°F (27.5%) reflects model uncertainty around exact minimums, typical for late-August clear nights when small variations in cloud cover or wind can shift outcomes by 1-2°F relative to the 67.2°F climatological average. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 25 de agosto?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 20%
62-63 °F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
53°F o menos
2%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
10%
62-63 °F
12%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
8%
72°F o más
11%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 20%
62-63 °F 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
53°F o menos
$5 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$10 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$10 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$82 Vol.
10%
62-63 °F
$109 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$62 Vol.
28%
68-69°F
$173 Vol.
20%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
8%
72°F o más
$10 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate mostly clear skies, light west winds, and moderate humidity over New York City on the night of August 24-25, favoring radiational cooling and a low in the mid-60s. This aligns with recent nights, including 63°F on August 20-21 and 67°F on August 21-22, under similar high-pressure conditions. The market's close spread between 64-65°F (35.5% implied) and 66-67°F (27.5%) reflects model uncertainty around exact minimums, typical for late-August clear nights when small variations in cloud cover or wind can shift outcomes by 1-2°F relative to the 67.2°F climatological average. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$391Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate mostly clear skies, light west winds, and moderate humidity over New York City on the night of August 24-25, favoring radiational cooling and a low in the mid-60s. This aligns with recent nights, including 63°F on August 20-21 and 67°F on August 21-22, under similar high-pressure conditions. The market's close spread between 64-65°F (35.5% implied) and 66-67°F (27.5%) reflects model uncertainty around exact minimums, typical for late-August clear nights when small variations in cloud cover or wind can shift outcomes by 1-2°F relative to the 67.2°F climatological average. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$391Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate mostly clear skies, light west winds, and moderate humidity over New York City on the night of August 24-25, favoring radiational cooling and a low in the mid-60s. This aligns with recent nights, including 63°F on August 20-21 and 67°F on August 21-22, under similar high-pressure conditions. The market's close spread between 64-65°F (35.5% implied) and 66-67°F (27.5%) reflects model uncertainty around exact minimums, typical for late-August clear nights when small variations in cloud cover or wind can shift outcomes by 1-2°F relative to the 67.2°F climatological average. Upcoming evening updates from NOAA will likely refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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