Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 24 points to clear skies and light westerly winds overnight, favoring moderate radiative cooling that supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s°F across Central Park and city stations. With August climatological normals near 67°F and the month running warmer than average, traders have concentrated probability on the 66–69°F bins while assigning meaningful weight to 64–65°F if boundary-layer mixing stays weaker than expected. Model spread in dew-point depression and urban heat retention creates the observed dispersion below 66°F, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational minimum reported by official networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 24 de agosto?
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 20%
62-63°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
55°F o menos
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
4%
74°F o más
4%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 20%
62-63°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
55°F o menos
$75 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
2%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
6%
60-61°F
$172 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$7 Vol.
11%
64-65°F
$13 Vol.
20%
66-67°F
$18 Vol.
31%
68-69°F
$108 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$9 Vol.
4%
74°F o más
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 24 points to clear skies and light westerly winds overnight, favoring moderate radiative cooling that supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s°F across Central Park and city stations. With August climatological normals near 67°F and the month running warmer than average, traders have concentrated probability on the 66–69°F bins while assigning meaningful weight to 64–65°F if boundary-layer mixing stays weaker than expected. Model spread in dew-point depression and urban heat retention creates the observed dispersion below 66°F, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational minimum reported by official networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$417Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 24 points to clear skies and light westerly winds overnight, favoring moderate radiative cooling that supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s°F across Central Park and city stations. With August climatological normals near 67°F and the month running warmer than average, traders have concentrated probability on the 66–69°F bins while assigning meaningful weight to 64–65°F if boundary-layer mixing stays weaker than expected. Model spread in dew-point depression and urban heat retention creates the observed dispersion below 66°F, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational minimum reported by official networks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$417Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for August 24 points to clear skies and light westerly winds overnight, favoring moderate radiative cooling that supports a minimum temperature in the upper 60s°F across Central Park and city stations. With August climatological normals near 67°F and the month running warmer than average, traders have concentrated probability on the 66–69°F bins while assigning meaningful weight to 64–65°F if boundary-layer mixing stays weaker than expected. Model spread in dew-point depression and urban heat retention creates the observed dispersion below 66°F, with final resolution hinging on the 24-hour observational minimum reported by official networks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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