Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 25 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 25 de agosto?
9°C o menos 69%
19°C o más 59%
10°C 49%
18°C 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
9°C o menos
69%
10°C
49%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
23%
18°C
45%
19°C o más
59%
9°C o menos 69%
19°C o más 59%
10°C 49%
18°C 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
9°C o menos
$5 Vol.
69%
10°C
$5 Vol.
49%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$5 Vol.
45%
19°C o más
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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