Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and others highlight overcast skies with light rain or thunderstorms on August 19 as the main driver keeping Zhengzhou's daily maximum near 28–31°C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation and surface heating, while any precipitation introduces evaporative cooling that caps afternoon peaks. Light easterly or northeasterly winds limit advection of warmer air, and high humidity in late-summer conditions further moderates extremes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppression over the 32°C+ tail. Updated CMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of peak heating will refine the precise high and shift trader positioning accordingly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 19 de agosto?
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 20%
28°C 20%
25°C 9%
26°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
22°C or below
$130 Vol.
1%
23°C
$140 Vol.
1%
24°C
$77 Vol.
1%
25°C
$71 Vol.
9%
26°C
$71 Vol.
9%
27°C
$30 Vol.
19%
28°C
$20 Vol.
19%
29°C
$11 Vol.
19%
30°C
$11 Vol.
19%
31°C
$11 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and others highlight overcast skies with light rain or thunderstorms on August 19 as the main driver keeping Zhengzhou's daily maximum near 28–31°C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation and surface heating, while any precipitation introduces evaporative cooling that caps afternoon peaks. Light easterly or northeasterly winds limit advection of warmer air, and high humidity in late-summer conditions further moderates extremes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppression over the 32°C+ tail. Updated CMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of peak heating will refine the precise high and shift trader positioning accordingly.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$583Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and others highlight overcast skies with light rain or thunderstorms on August 19 as the main driver keeping Zhengzhou's daily maximum near 28–31°C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation and surface heating, while any precipitation introduces evaporative cooling that caps afternoon peaks. Light easterly or northeasterly winds limit advection of warmer air, and high humidity in late-summer conditions further moderates extremes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppression over the 32°C+ tail. Updated CMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of peak heating will refine the precise high and shift trader positioning accordingly.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$583Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and others highlight overcast skies with light rain or thunderstorms on August 19 as the main driver keeping Zhengzhou's daily maximum near 28–31°C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around those thresholds. Cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation and surface heating, while any precipitation introduces evaporative cooling that caps afternoon peaks. Light easterly or northeasterly winds limit advection of warmer air, and high humidity in late-summer conditions further moderates extremes. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and model consensus favor suppression over the 32°C+ tail. Updated CMA guidance and satellite observations ahead of peak heating will refine the precise high and shift trader positioning accordingly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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