Recent forecasts from models such as those used by AccuWeather and The Weather Channel indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv around 32–34°C for August 2, driven by typical Mediterranean summer conditions with high pressure, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover limiting cooling. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows modest spread that sustains uncertainty until final observational data from Israel Meteorological Service stations resolve the outcome. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C, reflecting the upper end of expected variability in maximum temperature readings. No significant synoptic shifts or anomalous heat advection appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on 34–36°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 2 de agosto?
35°C 58%
34°C 18%
36°C 18%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
18%
35°C
58%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 58%
34°C 18%
36°C 18%
37°C 4%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
18%
35°C
58%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those used by AccuWeather and The Weather Channel indicate daytime highs in Tel Aviv around 32–34°C for August 2, driven by typical Mediterranean summer conditions with high pressure, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover limiting cooling. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows modest spread that sustains uncertainty until final observational data from Israel Meteorological Service stations resolve the outcome. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 35°C, reflecting the upper end of expected variability in maximum temperature readings. No significant synoptic shifts or anomalous heat advection appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on 34–36°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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