Recent forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 2 maximum will likely reach 27–28 °C under sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara are sustaining warm air advection, while limited cloud development and a weak sea-breeze circulation keep daytime peaks from climbing higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical summer variability around the 28 °C climatological mean, with any late-day moisture increase or slight wind shift capable of trimming the high by 1 °C. Official observations from the primary reporting station will determine resolution, and final model runs tonight are expected to refine the precise peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 2 de agosto?
27°C 49%
28°C 28%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
49%
28°C
28%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 28%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$251 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$355 Vol.
1%
25°C
$139 Vol.
2%
26°C
$390 Vol.
12%
27°C
$353 Vol.
49%
28°C
$698 Vol.
28%
29°C
$338 Vol.
9%
30°C
$763 Vol.
4%
31°C
$146 Vol.
2%
32°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$166 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 2 maximum will likely reach 27–28 °C under sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara are sustaining warm air advection, while limited cloud development and a weak sea-breeze circulation keep daytime peaks from climbing higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical summer variability around the 28 °C climatological mean, with any late-day moisture increase or slight wind shift capable of trimming the high by 1 °C. Official observations from the primary reporting station will determine resolution, and final model runs tonight are expected to refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,752Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 2 maximum will likely reach 27–28 °C under sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara are sustaining warm air advection, while limited cloud development and a weak sea-breeze circulation keep daytime peaks from climbing higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical summer variability around the 28 °C climatological mean, with any late-day moisture increase or slight wind shift capable of trimming the high by 1 °C. Official observations from the primary reporting station will determine resolution, and final model runs tonight are expected to refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,752Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 2 maximum will likely reach 27–28 °C under sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Persistent high pressure and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara are sustaining warm air advection, while limited cloud development and a weak sea-breeze circulation keep daytime peaks from climbing higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting typical summer variability around the 28 °C climatological mean, with any late-day moisture increase or slight wind shift capable of trimming the high by 1 °C. Official observations from the primary reporting station will determine resolution, and final model runs tonight are expected to refine the precise peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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