Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 2 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 2 de agosto?
30°C 34%
29°C 24%
31°C 21%
28°C 15%
NUEVO
$16,324 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,324 Vol.
2 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
15%
29°C
24%
30°C
34%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 24%
31°C 21%
28°C 15%
NUEVO
$16,324 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,324 Vol.
2 ago 2026
26°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,177 Vol.
15%
29°C
$5,392 Vol.
24%
30°C
$1,946 Vol.
34%
31°C
$1,744 Vol.
21%
32°C
$1,191 Vol.
4%
33°C
$1,359 Vol.
1%
34°C
$886 Vol.
1%
35°C
$257 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$963 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$16,324Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,324Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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