Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 1 likely reaching 34–35°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 35°C as the leading market outcome at 54% implied probability, as coastal humidity and sea-breeze moderation typically cap extremes near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Traders appear to weigh slight above-normal model guidance and recent stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, while lower odds for 36°C or higher reflect limited potential for further intensification absent unusual synoptic shifts. Updated observations through the day will refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 1 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 1 de agosto?
35°C 54%
34°C 30%
36°C 13%
33°C 6%
$24,913 Vol.
$24,913 Vol.
1 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
30%
35°C
54%
36°C
13%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 30%
36°C 13%
33°C 6%
$24,913 Vol.
$24,913 Vol.
1 ago 2026
31°C or below
$509 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,025 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,424 Vol.
6%
34°C
$7,529 Vol.
30%
35°C
$4,030 Vol.
54%
36°C
$2,953 Vol.
13%
37°C
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$632 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$354 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 1 likely reaching 34–35°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 35°C as the leading market outcome at 54% implied probability, as coastal humidity and sea-breeze moderation typically cap extremes near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Traders appear to weigh slight above-normal model guidance and recent stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, while lower odds for 36°C or higher reflect limited potential for further intensification absent unusual synoptic shifts. Updated observations through the day will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$24,913Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 1 likely reaching 34–35°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 35°C as the leading market outcome at 54% implied probability, as coastal humidity and sea-breeze moderation typically cap extremes near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Traders appear to weigh slight above-normal model guidance and recent stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, while lower odds for 36°C or higher reflect limited potential for further intensification absent unusual synoptic shifts. Updated observations through the day will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,913Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models, including those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate peak daytime temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 1 likely reaching 34–35°C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. This positions 35°C as the leading market outcome at 54% implied probability, as coastal humidity and sea-breeze moderation typically cap extremes near the long-term August average of 31–32°C. Traders appear to weigh slight above-normal model guidance and recent stable high-pressure patterns over the eastern Mediterranean, while lower odds for 36°C or higher reflect limited potential for further intensification absent unusual synoptic shifts. Updated observations through the day will refine these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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