Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 15 de agosto?
33°C 62%
34°C 30%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,799 Vol.
$19,799 Vol.
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
62%
34°C
30%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
34°C 30%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
$19,799 Vol.
$19,799 Vol.
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,763 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,675 Vol.
5%
33°C
$6,125 Vol.
62%
34°C
$3,027 Vol.
30%
35°C
$1,493 Vol.
1%
36°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,167 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$19,799Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,799Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 33°C as Tel Aviv’s peak temperature today, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns and Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation that limit afternoon heating to near seasonal norms. Ensemble forecasts from regional models show consistent maxima in the low- to mid-30s, with only modest urban heat-island effects or brief wind shifts potentially nudging readings to 34°C. Current surface observations indicate no strong Saharan air intrusion or anomalous subsidence that would support higher thresholds, keeping 35°C and above at negligible implied odds. Official Israel Meteorological Service station data will resolve the market, with intraday updates likely to refine probabilities as the diurnal cycle peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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