Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the Met Office and European centers point to a stable high-pressure system over central Europe driving clear skies and strong daytime solar heating in Munich on August 15, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect anomalous warmth from southerly flow, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered while underscoring the value of updated runs closer to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 15 de agosto?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 11%
33°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
11%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 11%
33°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
29°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13 Vol.
1%
32°C
$34 Vol.
3%
33°C
$69 Vol.
10%
34°C
$338 Vol.
30%
35°C
$951 Vol.
35%
36°C
$42 Vol.
11%
37°C
$11 Vol.
5%
38°C
$19 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$19 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the Met Office and European centers point to a stable high-pressure system over central Europe driving clear skies and strong daytime solar heating in Munich on August 15, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect anomalous warmth from southerly flow, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered while underscoring the value of updated runs closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,605Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the Met Office and European centers point to a stable high-pressure system over central Europe driving clear skies and strong daytime solar heating in Munich on August 15, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect anomalous warmth from southerly flow, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered while underscoring the value of updated runs closer to the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,605Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those used by the Met Office and European centers point to a stable high-pressure system over central Europe driving clear skies and strong daytime solar heating in Munich on August 15, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 34–35°C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, low-level wind speeds, and precise timing of any weak frontal passage, which can alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect anomalous warmth from southerly flow, with limited model spread keeping probabilities tightly clustered while underscoring the value of updated runs closer to the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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