Recent hot conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin’s outer subsidence have kept Hong Kong’s overnight lows elevated, with AccuWeather and HKO guidance pointing to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows near 26–27°C, yet the ongoing warm-air advection and urban heat-island effects support the market’s tight clustering around 28°C (41.5%) and 29°C (37.5%), while the modest 13.5% on 27°C reflects residual model spread on cloud cover and any late-day showers. Traders are monitoring the next HKO update and high-resolution model runs for refinements ahead of the 24-hour forecast window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 13 de agosto?
28°C 41%
29°C 38%
24°C 10%
27°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
41%
29°C
38%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C o más
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 38%
24°C 10%
27°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$27 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$27 Vol.
5%
24°C
$27 Vol.
10%
25°C
$350 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$170 Vol.
41%
29°C
$14 Vol.
38%
30°C
$884 Vol.
3%
31°C
$31 Vol.
8%
32°C o más
$48 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent hot conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin’s outer subsidence have kept Hong Kong’s overnight lows elevated, with AccuWeather and HKO guidance pointing to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows near 26–27°C, yet the ongoing warm-air advection and urban heat-island effects support the market’s tight clustering around 28°C (41.5%) and 29°C (37.5%), while the modest 13.5% on 27°C reflects residual model spread on cloud cover and any late-day showers. Traders are monitoring the next HKO update and high-resolution model runs for refinements ahead of the 24-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,578Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent hot conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin’s outer subsidence have kept Hong Kong’s overnight lows elevated, with AccuWeather and HKO guidance pointing to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows near 26–27°C, yet the ongoing warm-air advection and urban heat-island effects support the market’s tight clustering around 28°C (41.5%) and 29°C (37.5%), while the modest 13.5% on 27°C reflects residual model spread on cloud cover and any late-day showers. Traders are monitoring the next HKO update and high-resolution model runs for refinements ahead of the 24-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,578Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hot conditions driven by Typhoon Dolphin’s outer subsidence have kept Hong Kong’s overnight lows elevated, with AccuWeather and HKO guidance pointing to minimum temperatures of 26–28°C on August 13 under mostly cloudy skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Typical August climatology shows overnight lows near 26–27°C, yet the ongoing warm-air advection and urban heat-island effects support the market’s tight clustering around 28°C (41.5%) and 29°C (37.5%), while the modest 13.5% on 27°C reflects residual model spread on cloud cover and any late-day showers. Traders are monitoring the next HKO update and high-resolution model runs for refinements ahead of the 24-hour forecast window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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