Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 13 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 13 de agosto?
24°C 42%
23°C 41%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
8%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
41%
24°C
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C o más
<1%
24°C 42%
23°C 41%
22°C 13%
20°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$53 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$68 Vol.
8%
21°C
$48 Vol.
5%
22°C
$48 Vol.
13%
23°C
$53 Vol.
41%
24°C
$159 Vol.
42%
25°C
$48 Vol.
5%
26°C
$48 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C o más
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$643Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$643Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate increasing cloud cover and showers over Tokyo through August 13, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support minimum temperatures near 22–24°C. Persistent high pressure combined with elevated humidity and precipitation chances has shifted model consensus slightly below seasonal normals of about 23.7°C. Ensemble runs show small sensitivities to exact cloud timing and wind speeds that can alter the low by 1°C, explaining the near-even market split between 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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