**Typical mid-winter conditions in Wellington position 12°C and 13°C as the leading outcomes.** August climatology shows average daily highs near 12–13°C, with official long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projecting a monthly range of 11.5–15.9°C and early August observations recording maxima around 12.8°C. No significant warm anomalies or blocking patterns have emerged in recent model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values. Short-term steering by prevailing westerlies and typical cloud cover further support modest daytime peaks without rapid intensification or cooling. Traders appear to be weighting historical baselines and stable ensemble forecasts heavily, with only small implied odds on outliers above 14°C or below 11°C given the narrow expected variance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 11 de agosto?
12°C 57%
13°C 35%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
6°C o menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
57%
13°C
35%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
12°C 57%
13°C 35%
11°C 6%
14°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
6°C o menos
$503 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$350 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$27 Vol.
2%
11°C
$677 Vol.
6%
12°C
$1,280 Vol.
57%
13°C
$2,316 Vol.
35%
14°C
$634 Vol.
6%
15°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
16°C o más
$498 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Typical mid-winter conditions in Wellington position 12°C and 13°C as the leading outcomes.** August climatology shows average daily highs near 12–13°C, with official long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projecting a monthly range of 11.5–15.9°C and early August observations recording maxima around 12.8°C. No significant warm anomalies or blocking patterns have emerged in recent model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values. Short-term steering by prevailing westerlies and typical cloud cover further support modest daytime peaks without rapid intensification or cooling. Traders appear to be weighting historical baselines and stable ensemble forecasts heavily, with only small implied odds on outliers above 14°C or below 11°C given the narrow expected variance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$7,474Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Typical mid-winter conditions in Wellington position 12°C and 13°C as the leading outcomes.** August climatology shows average daily highs near 12–13°C, with official long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projecting a monthly range of 11.5–15.9°C and early August observations recording maxima around 12.8°C. No significant warm anomalies or blocking patterns have emerged in recent model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values. Short-term steering by prevailing westerlies and typical cloud cover further support modest daytime peaks without rapid intensification or cooling. Traders appear to be weighting historical baselines and stable ensemble forecasts heavily, with only small implied odds on outliers above 14°C or below 11°C given the narrow expected variance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,474Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Typical mid-winter conditions in Wellington position 12°C and 13°C as the leading outcomes.** August climatology shows average daily highs near 12–13°C, with official long-range forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projecting a monthly range of 11.5–15.9°C and early August observations recording maxima around 12.8°C. No significant warm anomalies or blocking patterns have emerged in recent model guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values. Short-term steering by prevailing westerlies and typical cloud cover further support modest daytime peaks without rapid intensification or cooling. Traders appear to be weighting historical baselines and stable ensemble forecasts heavily, with only small implied odds on outliers above 14°C or below 11°C given the narrow expected variance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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