Current forecasts place Istanbul's August 9 maximum near 28–29°C, with the tight 27°C (42.5%) versus 28°C (37%) split reflecting ensemble model spread and local moderation. The Bosphorus sea breeze, typical under summer high pressure, often caps afternoon peaks by 1–2°C at central stations monitored by the Turkish Meteorological Service, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce further uncertainty. Historical August averages hover around 28°C, and recent runs from global models show limited potential for 30°C or higher absent strong subsidence. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any official short-range guidance for shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 9 de agosto?
27°C 43%
28°C 37%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
43%
28°C
37%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C o más
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 37%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$35 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$38 Vol.
3%
26°C
$21 Vol.
10%
27°C
$1,672 Vol.
43%
28°C
$47 Vol.
37%
29°C
$23 Vol.
12%
30°C
$44 Vol.
2%
31°C
$29 Vol.
2%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C o más
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts place Istanbul's August 9 maximum near 28–29°C, with the tight 27°C (42.5%) versus 28°C (37%) split reflecting ensemble model spread and local moderation. The Bosphorus sea breeze, typical under summer high pressure, often caps afternoon peaks by 1–2°C at central stations monitored by the Turkish Meteorological Service, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce further uncertainty. Historical August averages hover around 28°C, and recent runs from global models show limited potential for 30°C or higher absent strong subsidence. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any official short-range guidance for shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$1,960Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts place Istanbul's August 9 maximum near 28–29°C, with the tight 27°C (42.5%) versus 28°C (37%) split reflecting ensemble model spread and local moderation. The Bosphorus sea breeze, typical under summer high pressure, often caps afternoon peaks by 1–2°C at central stations monitored by the Turkish Meteorological Service, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce further uncertainty. Historical August averages hover around 28°C, and recent runs from global models show limited potential for 30°C or higher absent strong subsidence. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any official short-range guidance for shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,960Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts place Istanbul's August 9 maximum near 28–29°C, with the tight 27°C (42.5%) versus 28°C (37%) split reflecting ensemble model spread and local moderation. The Bosphorus sea breeze, typical under summer high pressure, often caps afternoon peaks by 1–2°C at central stations monitored by the Turkish Meteorological Service, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce further uncertainty. Historical August averages hover around 28°C, and recent runs from global models show limited potential for 30°C or higher absent strong subsidence. Traders are watching the next ECMWF and GFS updates plus any official short-range guidance for shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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