Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a tight range for Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 7, with guidance centering near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Ensemble runs show slight divergence in timing of any showers or sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C, while historical August baselines around 31–32°C provide context for the modest upward bias. Traders assign the closest probabilities to 33°C and 34°C because small shifts in updated model output or observational data ahead of resolution could readily tip the official reading between these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 7 de agosto?
34°C 42%
33°C 39%
35°C 13%
32°C 8%
NUEVO
$21,488 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,488 Vol.
7 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
39%
34°C
42%
35°C
13%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 39%
35°C 13%
32°C 8%
NUEVO
$21,488 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,488 Vol.
7 ago 2026
28°C or below
$661 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,036 Vol.
3%
32°C
$2,420 Vol.
8%
33°C
$4,245 Vol.
39%
34°C
$3,468 Vol.
42%
35°C
$4,849 Vol.
13%
36°C
$1,878 Vol.
3%
37°C
$967 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a tight range for Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 7, with guidance centering near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Ensemble runs show slight divergence in timing of any showers or sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C, while historical August baselines around 31–32°C provide context for the modest upward bias. Traders assign the closest probabilities to 33°C and 34°C because small shifts in updated model output or observational data ahead of resolution could readily tip the official reading between these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$21,488Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a tight range for Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 7, with guidance centering near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Ensemble runs show slight divergence in timing of any showers or sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C, while historical August baselines around 31–32°C provide context for the modest upward bias. Traders assign the closest probabilities to 33°C and 34°C because small shifts in updated model output or observational data ahead of resolution could readily tip the official reading between these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$21,488Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a tight range for Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 7, with guidance centering near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Ensemble runs show slight divergence in timing of any showers or sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C, while historical August baselines around 31–32°C provide context for the modest upward bias. Traders assign the closest probabilities to 33°C and 34°C because small shifts in updated model output or observational data ahead of resolution could readily tip the official reading between these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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