Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily minima near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. Cloud cover and showers expected around August 8 could suppress overnight radiative cooling and lower the minimum, supporting elevated trader weighting on 22°C or below as the leading outcome, while clearer skies or reduced rainfall would favor mid-range resolutions near 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for extremes above 32°C or below 23°C given seasonal baselines and current steering patterns, with the next official guidance updates likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 8 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 8 de agosto?
22°C o menos 72%
32°C o más 44%
28°C 25%
27°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
22°C o menos
72%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
15%
26°C
18%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
18%
30°C
16%
31°C
10%
32°C o más
44%
22°C o menos 72%
32°C o más 44%
28°C 25%
27°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$10 Vol.
72%
23°C
$10 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$10 Vol.
16%
31°C
$252 Vol.
10%
32°C o más
$10 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily minima near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. Cloud cover and showers expected around August 8 could suppress overnight radiative cooling and lower the minimum, supporting elevated trader weighting on 22°C or below as the leading outcome, while clearer skies or reduced rainfall would favor mid-range resolutions near 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for extremes above 32°C or below 23°C given seasonal baselines and current steering patterns, with the next official guidance updates likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$302Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily minima near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. Cloud cover and showers expected around August 8 could suppress overnight radiative cooling and lower the minimum, supporting elevated trader weighting on 22°C or below as the leading outcome, while clearer skies or reduced rainfall would favor mid-range resolutions near 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for extremes above 32°C or below 23°C given seasonal baselines and current steering patterns, with the next official guidance updates likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$302Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for August 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily minima near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions influenced by the East Asian monsoon. Cloud cover and showers expected around August 8 could suppress overnight radiative cooling and lower the minimum, supporting elevated trader weighting on 22°C or below as the leading outcome, while clearer skies or reduced rainfall would favor mid-range resolutions near 27–28°C. Model consensus shows limited potential for extremes above 32°C or below 23°C given seasonal baselines and current steering patterns, with the next official guidance updates likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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