Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and short-range model guidance point to a daily maximum of 35–37 °C on August 9, 2026, reflecting normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and high solar insolation under an urban heat island are expected to drive strong daytime heating, while moderate humidity and boundary-layer moisture could temper peaks. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes because small differences in afternoon cloud development or sea-breeze timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, consistent with historical variability in late-summer conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 9 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 9 de agosto?
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
37°C 17%
34°C 12%
NUEVO
$14,657 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,657 Vol.
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
38%
36°C
31%
37°C
17%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
36°C 31%
37°C 17%
34°C 12%
NUEVO
$14,657 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,657 Vol.
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
$911 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,117 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,337 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,331 Vol.
12%
35°C
$2,108 Vol.
38%
36°C
$1,329 Vol.
31%
37°C
$1,529 Vol.
17%
38°C
$1,791 Vol.
5%
39°C
$433 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and short-range model guidance point to a daily maximum of 35–37 °C on August 9, 2026, reflecting normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and high solar insolation under an urban heat island are expected to drive strong daytime heating, while moderate humidity and boundary-layer moisture could temper peaks. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes because small differences in afternoon cloud development or sea-breeze timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, consistent with historical variability in late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$14,657Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and short-range model guidance point to a daily maximum of 35–37 °C on August 9, 2026, reflecting normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and high solar insolation under an urban heat island are expected to drive strong daytime heating, while moderate humidity and boundary-layer moisture could temper peaks. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes because small differences in afternoon cloud development or sea-breeze timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, consistent with historical variability in late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,657Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory outlooks and short-range model guidance point to a daily maximum of 35–37 °C on August 9, 2026, reflecting normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend. Weak west-to-southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and high solar insolation under an urban heat island are expected to drive strong daytime heating, while moderate humidity and boundary-layer moisture could temper peaks. Traders weigh the narrow spread between 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes because small differences in afternoon cloud development or sea-breeze timing can shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C, consistent with historical variability in late-summer conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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