Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo will see mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 13, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C. Persistent high humidity from the strengthened Pacific High, combined with urban heat-island effects and modest southerly flow, keeps readings close to seasonal normals of 31.6 °C while cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 50–70 % suppress further warming. Ensemble model runs show only minor spread in timing of showers, explaining the tight market clustering around 28–29 °C rather than higher outcomes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 13 de agosto?
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
27°C 20%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
27°C 20%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
20%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate Tokyo will see mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers on August 13, limiting daytime solar heating and supporting maximum temperatures near 28–29 °C. Persistent high humidity from the strengthened Pacific High, combined with urban heat-island effects and modest southerly flow, keeps readings close to seasonal normals of 31.6 °C while cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 50–70 % suppress further warming. Ensemble model runs show only minor spread in timing of showers, explaining the tight market clustering around 28–29 °C rather than higher outcomes. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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