Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow's August 15 maximum near 19–21 °C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on 19 °C and 20 °C. Mid-level ridging and variable low-level moisture are producing modest day-to-day spread, with some solutions showing slightly more cloud cover that could cap readings at 18 °C while others allow brief clearing for 21 °C. Recent runs have trended marginally cooler than early-August guidance, consistent with a transient upper-level trough crossing the region. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble releases over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 15 de agosto?
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
21°C 21%
18°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
15°C or below
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
9%
18°C
18%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
21%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
5%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
21°C 21%
18°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
15°C or below
$31 Vol.
6%
16°C
$19 Vol.
7%
17°C
$262 Vol.
9%
18°C
$63 Vol.
18%
19°C
$174 Vol.
40%
20°C
$102 Vol.
40%
21°C
$58 Vol.
21%
22°C
$58 Vol.
3%
23°C
$5 Vol.
7%
24°C
$12 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$12 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow's August 15 maximum near 19–21 °C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on 19 °C and 20 °C. Mid-level ridging and variable low-level moisture are producing modest day-to-day spread, with some solutions showing slightly more cloud cover that could cap readings at 18 °C while others allow brief clearing for 21 °C. Recent runs have trended marginally cooler than early-August guidance, consistent with a transient upper-level trough crossing the region. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble releases over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$796Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow's August 15 maximum near 19–21 °C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on 19 °C and 20 °C. Mid-level ridging and variable low-level moisture are producing modest day-to-day spread, with some solutions showing slightly more cloud cover that could cap readings at 18 °C while others allow brief clearing for 21 °C. Recent runs have trended marginally cooler than early-August guidance, consistent with a transient upper-level trough crossing the region. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble releases over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$796Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Moscow's August 15 maximum near 19–21 °C, directly supporting the near-even market-implied odds on 19 °C and 20 °C. Mid-level ridging and variable low-level moisture are producing modest day-to-day spread, with some solutions showing slightly more cloud cover that could cap readings at 18 °C while others allow brief clearing for 21 °C. Recent runs have trended marginally cooler than early-August guidance, consistent with a transient upper-level trough crossing the region. Updated ECMWF and GFS ensemble releases over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes