Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Beijing on August 13, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (22% and 20.5%) to those outcomes amid genuine forecast spread. Primary drivers include persistent moisture from regional circulation patterns that favor scattered convection and cloud cover, limiting peak solar heating, alongside typical late-summer humidity that can suppress temperature extremes. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but short-term steering flows and precipitation timing introduce variability that models continue to resolve differently. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely refine the range before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 13 de agosto?
29°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 15%
32°C o más 13%
NUEVO
$34,446 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,446 Vol.
13 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
10%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
20%
31°C
15%
32°C o más
13%
29°C 22%
30°C 20%
31°C 15%
32°C o más 13%
NUEVO
$34,446 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,446 Vol.
13 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$542 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$880 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,370 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,862 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,881 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,115 Vol.
10%
28°C
$2,637 Vol.
9%
29°C
$2,221 Vol.
22%
30°C
$1,803 Vol.
20%
31°C
$3,433 Vol.
15%
32°C o más
$14,701 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Beijing on August 13, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (22% and 20.5%) to those outcomes amid genuine forecast spread. Primary drivers include persistent moisture from regional circulation patterns that favor scattered convection and cloud cover, limiting peak solar heating, alongside typical late-summer humidity that can suppress temperature extremes. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but short-term steering flows and precipitation timing introduce variability that models continue to resolve differently. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely refine the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$34,446Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Beijing on August 13, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (22% and 20.5%) to those outcomes amid genuine forecast spread. Primary drivers include persistent moisture from regional circulation patterns that favor scattered convection and cloud cover, limiting peak solar heating, alongside typical late-summer humidity that can suppress temperature extremes. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but short-term steering flows and precipitation timing introduce variability that models continue to resolve differently. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely refine the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,446Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 29–30°C in Beijing on August 13, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities (22% and 20.5%) to those outcomes amid genuine forecast spread. Primary drivers include persistent moisture from regional circulation patterns that favor scattered convection and cloud cover, limiting peak solar heating, alongside typical late-summer humidity that can suppress temperature extremes. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but short-term steering flows and precipitation timing introduce variability that models continue to resolve differently. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will likely refine the range before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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