Latest short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo daytime maxima likely reaching 29–30 °C on August 13 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and modest warm advection from the northwest. This setup follows a cooler frontal passage mid-week and departs from the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, pushing market-implied odds toward the upper end of the typical winter range. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary urban station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 13 de agosto?
29°C 43%
30°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
43%
30°C
25%
31°C
16%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 43%
30°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
5%
28°C
$15 Vol.
15%
29°C
$18 Vol.
43%
30°C
$15 Vol.
25%
31°C
$27 Vol.
16%
32°C
$15 Vol.
8%
33°C
$2 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo daytime maxima likely reaching 29–30 °C on August 13 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and modest warm advection from the northwest. This setup follows a cooler frontal passage mid-week and departs from the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, pushing market-implied odds toward the upper end of the typical winter range. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary urban station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volumen
$152Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo daytime maxima likely reaching 29–30 °C on August 13 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and modest warm advection from the northwest. This setup follows a cooler frontal passage mid-week and departs from the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, pushing market-implied odds toward the upper end of the typical winter range. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary urban station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$152Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from INMET and global ensembles show São Paulo daytime maxima likely reaching 29–30 °C on August 13 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that favors subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and modest warm advection from the northwest. This setup follows a cooler frontal passage mid-week and departs from the August climatological mean of 23–25 °C, pushing market-implied odds toward the upper end of the typical winter range. Ensemble spread remains modest but allows for 1–2 °C variability tied to exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze influence; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary urban station.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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