Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 12 de agosto?
29°C 48%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
31°C 4%
NUEVO
$10,546 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,546 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
31°C 4%
NUEVO
$10,546 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,546 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$599 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$643 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$348 Vol.
1%
27°C
$968 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,137 Vol.
27%
29°C
$2,010 Vol.
48%
30°C
$1,665 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,053 Vol.
4%
32°C
$259 Vol.
1%
33°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$328 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$10,546Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,546Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai under a moist subtropical flow with scattered showers expected on August 12, limiting daytime heating and supporting a most probable maximum near 29 °C. Typical August climatology features highs of 31–33 °C, yet the current pattern of elevated humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering winds favors slight suppression of peak temperatures compared with recent heat-wave conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, with only modest upside risk if convection remains isolated; traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 28–30 °C range while discounting extremes above 32 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning of August 11 will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes