Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 13 position 33–35°C as the most probable daily maximum range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, weak steering flows, and scattered thunderstorm activity that often caps afternoon peaks. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office indicates maxima near 34–35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery skies, while historical August averages hover around 32°C with frequent convective cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with model consensus on modest instability limiting extreme heat, though any delay in rain or clearer skies could push readings higher within the narrow probability bands. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 13 de agosto?
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 15%
32°C 7%
$10,140 Vol.
$10,140 Vol.
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
31%
34°C
43%
35°C
15%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 31%
35°C 15%
32°C 7%
$10,140 Vol.
$10,140 Vol.
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
31%
34°C
43%
35°C
15%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shenzhen on August 13 position 33–35°C as the most probable daily maximum range, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, weak steering flows, and scattered thunderstorm activity that often caps afternoon peaks. Official guidance from sources including the Met Office indicates maxima near 34–35°C amid partly cloudy to thundery skies, while historical August averages hover around 32°C with frequent convective cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the 43% implied probability for 34°C, aligns with model consensus on modest instability limiting extreme heat, though any delay in rain or clearer skies could push readings higher within the narrow probability bands. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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