**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 16 de agosto?
35°C 26%
36°C 25%
37°C 24%
34°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
13%
34°C
14%
35°C
26%
36°C
25%
37°C
24%
38°C
11%
39°C o más
1%
35°C 26%
36°C 25%
37°C 24%
34°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$6 Vol.
25%
37°C
$7 Vol.
24%
38°C
$0 Vol.
11%
39°C o más
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$33Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–37°C for Guangzhou’s August 16 high, reflecting ensemble model spreads rather than a single deterministic forecast.** Subtropical summer conditions, with mean August highs near 33–34°C, are modulated by expected thunderstorm activity and cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating. Official guidance and recent model runs show daytime maxima of 33–36°C (roughly 91–97°F), where variations in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August extremes rarely exceed 38°C without clear skies and strong subsidence; current patterns favor modest suppression from convective clouds. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes