Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 28–32°C, driven by expected cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of summer monsoon moisture and a relatively mild 2026 season to date. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, while model consensus on precipitation through the weekend reduces odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if drier conditions emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 14 de agosto?
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 25%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
25°C o menos
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
41%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C o más
7%
31°C 25%
32°C 25%
33°C 25%
30°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$120 Vol.
1%
26°C
$99 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$228 Vol.
6%
30°C
$22 Vol.
10%
31°C
$60 Vol.
25%
32°C
$88 Vol.
41%
33°C
$30 Vol.
17%
34°C
$12 Vol.
5%
35°C o más
$60 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 28–32°C, driven by expected cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of summer monsoon moisture and a relatively mild 2026 season to date. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, while model consensus on precipitation through the weekend reduces odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if drier conditions emerge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$729Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 28–32°C, driven by expected cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of summer monsoon moisture and a relatively mild 2026 season to date. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, while model consensus on precipitation through the weekend reduces odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if drier conditions emerge.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$729Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 28–32°C, driven by expected cloud cover, thunderstorms, and rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on 31–32°C outcomes, reflecting the moderating influence of summer monsoon moisture and a relatively mild 2026 season to date. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, while model consensus on precipitation through the weekend reduces odds of extremes above 34°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date could shift implied probabilities if drier conditions emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes