Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami for the night of August 15–16, aligning with the market’s top outcomes and reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions dominated by warm Atlantic waters, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent days have featured minimum temperatures of 78–82°F amid easterly flow and sea-breeze moderation, with no approaching cold front or tropical disturbance to alter the pattern. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping the 80–83°F range as the most probable resolution window while acknowledging that localized urban heat or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 16 de agosto?
82-83°F 43%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 8%
73°F o menos
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F o más
<1%
82-83°F 43%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 8%
73°F o menos
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to overnight lows of 80–83°F in Miami for the night of August 15–16, aligning with the market’s top outcomes and reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions dominated by warm Atlantic waters, high humidity, and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Recent days have featured minimum temperatures of 78–82°F amid easterly flow and sea-breeze moderation, with no approaching cold front or tropical disturbance to alter the pattern. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping the 80–83°F range as the most probable resolution window while acknowledging that localized urban heat or clearer skies could nudge readings slightly higher or lower before dawn.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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