Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 17, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology under neutral ENSO influence and above-normal seasonal temperatures, where overnight lows rarely drop below 26°C without a significant cold surge or clear-sky outbreak. Model guidance shows minimal spread in steering patterns and moisture, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, though a late forecast shift toward drier air could allow modest further cooling before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 17 de agosto?
27°C 34%
28°C 34%
26°C 30%
25°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o menos
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
34%
29°C
19%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C o más
1%
27°C 34%
28°C 34%
26°C 30%
25°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$22 Vol.
5%
24°C
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2 Vol.
26%
26°C
$2 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$5 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C o más
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 17, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology under neutral ENSO influence and above-normal seasonal temperatures, where overnight lows rarely drop below 26°C without a significant cold surge or clear-sky outbreak. Model guidance shows minimal spread in steering patterns and moisture, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, though a late forecast shift toward drier air could allow modest further cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 17, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology under neutral ENSO influence and above-normal seasonal temperatures, where overnight lows rarely drop below 26°C without a significant cold surge or clear-sky outbreak. Model guidance shows minimal spread in steering patterns and moisture, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, though a late forecast shift toward drier air could allow modest further cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$46Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daily minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 17, driven by persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical August climatology under neutral ENSO influence and above-normal seasonal temperatures, where overnight lows rarely drop below 26°C without a significant cold surge or clear-sky outbreak. Model guidance shows minimal spread in steering patterns and moisture, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, though a late forecast shift toward drier air could allow modest further cooling before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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