**NWS forecasts for August 14, 2026, place the daily high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and 80–81°F downtown, aligning closely with the market’s strong 74.5% implied probability on 76–77°F.** A persistent marine layer and weak coastal trough are suppressing onshore warming, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing under light westerly flow. This setup keeps coastal maxima below seasonal averages, while inland valleys warm more readily. Model consensus from official sources shows limited diurnal heating potential today, with any shift toward 78–79°F hinging on earlier marine-layer erosion or stronger offshore flow—scenarios traders currently assign only 16% odds. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 14 de agosto?
76-77°F 69%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 2.3%
$28,241 Vol.
$28,241 Vol.
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73 °F
<1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
69%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 69%
78-79°F 22%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 2.3%
$28,241 Vol.
$28,241 Vol.
65°F o menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73 °F
<1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
69%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o más
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**NWS forecasts for August 14, 2026, place the daily high near 77°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) and 80–81°F downtown, aligning closely with the market’s strong 74.5% implied probability on 76–77°F.** A persistent marine layer and weak coastal trough are suppressing onshore warming, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing under light westerly flow. This setup keeps coastal maxima below seasonal averages, while inland valleys warm more readily. Model consensus from official sources shows limited diurnal heating potential today, with any shift toward 78–79°F hinging on earlier marine-layer erosion or stronger offshore flow—scenarios traders currently assign only 16% odds. Updated NWS briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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