Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 15 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 15 de agosto?
33°C 37%
34°C 30%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
11%
33°C
37%
34°C
30%
35°C
15%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
34°C 30%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 ago 2026
30°C or below
$14 Vol.
1%
31°C
$10 Vol.
3%
32°C
$336 Vol.
11%
33°C
$184 Vol.
37%
34°C
$353 Vol.
30%
35°C
$114 Vol.
15%
36°C
$281 Vol.
10%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C
$43 Vol.
1%
39°C
$20 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$84 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,460Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,460Fecha de finalización
15 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Madrid's daily maximum on August 15 will likely fall between 33–36 °C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies typical of midsummer continental conditions. Slight differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds, and boundary-layer mixing among ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering around 33 °C and 34 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–33 °C, with occasional spikes above 35 °C during heat episodes, but no extreme heatwave is currently signaled. Updated model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts will be the key near-term drivers of market movement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes