Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly observations and models, indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle near 25°C, consistent with persistent high humidity (85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light rain or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical late-August lows in the region range 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced conditions, with urban heat effects further moderating drops. Overnight readings have hovered around 26–27°C through early hours, showing little deviation from seasonal baselines and no incoming cooler air mass. Trader consensus reflected in the 25°C and 24°C outcomes aligns with this evidence-based range, as probabilities for 23°C or lower remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or stronger winds. Final official measurements will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 30. August?
24°C 95%
23°C or below 5%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$2,398 Vol.
$2,398 Vol.
23°C or below
5%
24°C
95%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
24°C 95%
23°C or below 5%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$2,398 Vol.
$2,398 Vol.
23°C or below
5%
24°C
95%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including hourly observations and models, indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 30 will likely settle near 25°C, consistent with persistent high humidity (85–95%), widespread cloud cover, and light rain or thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Typical late-August lows in the region range 26–28°C under similar monsoon-influenced conditions, with urban heat effects further moderating drops. Overnight readings have hovered around 26–27°C through early hours, showing little deviation from seasonal baselines and no incoming cooler air mass. Trader consensus reflected in the 25°C and 24°C outcomes aligns with this evidence-based range, as probabilities for 23°C or lower remain minimal absent unexpected clear skies or stronger winds. Final official measurements will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen