Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models point to overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C on August 31, consistent with historical August averages of 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions marked by high humidity near 80% and frequent cloud cover that reduces nighttime radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because minor shifts in precipitation timing, wind speed, or partial clearing could push the minimum toward 23–25°C or hold it near 28°C, while stronger monsoon influences or urban heat effects introduce further variability. Upcoming model updates from agencies tracking regional pressure systems will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 31. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 31. August?
22°C or below 81%
24°C 45%
23°C 45%
26°C 44%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
81%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C
38%
26°C
44%
27°C
44%
28°C
9%
29°C
38%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 81%
24°C 45%
23°C 45%
26°C 44%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$140 Vol.
81%
23°C
$0 Vol.
45%
24°C
$0 Vol.
45%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$0 Vol.
44%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$188 Vol.
38%
30°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models point to overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C on August 31, consistent with historical August averages of 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions marked by high humidity near 80% and frequent cloud cover that reduces nighttime radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because minor shifts in precipitation timing, wind speed, or partial clearing could push the minimum toward 23–25°C or hold it near 28°C, while stronger monsoon influences or urban heat effects introduce further variability. Upcoming model updates from agencies tracking regional pressure systems will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$600Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models point to overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C on August 31, consistent with historical August averages of 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions marked by high humidity near 80% and frequent cloud cover that reduces nighttime radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because minor shifts in precipitation timing, wind speed, or partial clearing could push the minimum toward 23–25°C or hold it near 28°C, while stronger monsoon influences or urban heat effects introduce further variability. Upcoming model updates from agencies tracking regional pressure systems will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$600Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global meteorological models point to overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C on August 31, consistent with historical August averages of 26–27°C under subtropical monsoon conditions marked by high humidity near 80% and frequent cloud cover that reduces nighttime radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on these outcomes because minor shifts in precipitation timing, wind speed, or partial clearing could push the minimum toward 23–25°C or hold it near 28°C, while stronger monsoon influences or urban heat effects introduce further variability. Upcoming model updates from agencies tracking regional pressure systems will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen