Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 most likely near 30–31°C due to widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Persistent monsoon influences and light northerly winds further moderate peaks below the August climatological average of 32°C. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the tight spread in guidance, with only modest probabilities assigned to 29°C or 32°C given limited model divergence on instability timing and intensity. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 31. August?
31°C 35%
30°C 34%
29°C 19%
32°C 10%
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
35%
32°C
10%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 34%
29°C 19%
32°C 10%
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
NEU
$12,182 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$568 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,235 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,587 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,650 Vol.
19%
30°C
$1,599 Vol.
34%
31°C
$1,802 Vol.
35%
32°C
$524 Vol.
10%
33°C
$833 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$353 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 most likely near 30–31°C due to widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Persistent monsoon influences and light northerly winds further moderate peaks below the August climatological average of 32°C. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the tight spread in guidance, with only modest probabilities assigned to 29°C or 32°C given limited model divergence on instability timing and intensity. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$12,182Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 most likely near 30–31°C due to widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Persistent monsoon influences and light northerly winds further moderate peaks below the August climatological average of 32°C. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the tight spread in guidance, with only modest probabilities assigned to 29°C or 32°C given limited model divergence on instability timing and intensity. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,182Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31 most likely near 30–31°C due to widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and expected thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Persistent monsoon influences and light northerly winds further moderate peaks below the August climatological average of 32°C. Trader consensus around these two outcomes reflects the tight spread in guidance, with only modest probabilities assigned to 29°C or 32°C given limited model divergence on instability timing and intensity. New observational data and updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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