Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on September 1 driven by residual circulation from a weakening tropical low, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. High humidity levels near 90 % combined with light northerly winds further moderate the diurnal range, while model consensus from regional guidance shows only modest variation in expected cloud thickness and precipitation timing that separates the closely matched 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology under active monsoon influence, where trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing rather than large shifts in overall air mass. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine resolution odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 1. September?
26°C 53%
29°C 49%
25°C 41%
23°C 39%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
10%
23°C
39%
24°C
37%
25°C
41%
26°C
53%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 53%
29°C 49%
25°C 41%
23°C 39%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25°C
$0 Vol.
41%
26°C
$0 Vol.
53%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$10 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on September 1 driven by residual circulation from a weakening tropical low, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. High humidity levels near 90 % combined with light northerly winds further moderate the diurnal range, while model consensus from regional guidance shows only modest variation in expected cloud thickness and precipitation timing that separates the closely matched 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology under active monsoon influence, where trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing rather than large shifts in overall air mass. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$10Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on September 1 driven by residual circulation from a weakening tropical low, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. High humidity levels near 90 % combined with light northerly winds further moderate the diurnal range, while model consensus from regional guidance shows only modest variation in expected cloud thickness and precipitation timing that separates the closely matched 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology under active monsoon influence, where trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing rather than large shifts in overall air mass. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms on September 1 driven by residual circulation from a weakening tropical low, which limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 25–26 °C. High humidity levels near 90 % combined with light northerly winds further moderate the diurnal range, while model consensus from regional guidance shows only modest variation in expected cloud thickness and precipitation timing that separates the closely matched 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology under active monsoon influence, where trader-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing rather than large shifts in overall air mass. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to refine resolution odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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