Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas point to clear skies and southerly winds sustaining overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 30, aligning with the tightly grouped market-implied odds around 76–83°F. Persistent high pressure and Gulf moisture limit radiative cooling typical under clear conditions, while the urban heat island effect—stronger at night from stored daytime heat in concrete and reduced vegetation—elevates minimum temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average near 75°F. Minor model differences in dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind patterns create the observed probability spread across adjacent bins, underscoring forecast sensitivity near resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and observations will refine these estimates before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 30. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 30. August?
74-75°F 50%
76-77 °F 27%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
71°F oder darunter
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
50%
76-77 °F
27%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83 °F
29%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
74-75°F 50%
76-77 °F 27%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 18%
NEU
NEU
30. Aug. 2026
71°F oder darunter
$76 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$235 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$147 Vol.
50%
76-77 °F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$9 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
27%
82-83 °F
$16 Vol.
29%
84-85°F
$30 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$137 Vol.
1%
90°F oder höher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas point to clear skies and southerly winds sustaining overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 30, aligning with the tightly grouped market-implied odds around 76–83°F. Persistent high pressure and Gulf moisture limit radiative cooling typical under clear conditions, while the urban heat island effect—stronger at night from stored daytime heat in concrete and reduced vegetation—elevates minimum temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average near 75°F. Minor model differences in dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind patterns create the observed probability spread across adjacent bins, underscoring forecast sensitivity near resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and observations will refine these estimates before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$831Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas point to clear skies and southerly winds sustaining overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 30, aligning with the tightly grouped market-implied odds around 76–83°F. Persistent high pressure and Gulf moisture limit radiative cooling typical under clear conditions, while the urban heat island effect—stronger at night from stored daytime heat in concrete and reduced vegetation—elevates minimum temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average near 75°F. Minor model differences in dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind patterns create the observed probability spread across adjacent bins, underscoring forecast sensitivity near resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and observations will refine these estimates before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$831Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas point to clear skies and southerly winds sustaining overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 30, aligning with the tightly grouped market-implied odds around 76–83°F. Persistent high pressure and Gulf moisture limit radiative cooling typical under clear conditions, while the urban heat island effect—stronger at night from stored daytime heat in concrete and reduced vegetation—elevates minimum temperatures above the 1991–2020 climatological average near 75°F. Minor model differences in dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind patterns create the observed probability spread across adjacent bins, underscoring forecast sensitivity near resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and observations will refine these estimates before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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