Persistent hot, dry conditions across North Texas, with a multi-week heat wave featuring daytime highs near or above 100°F and minimal overnight cooling, drove the strong market consensus around an 80-81°F low for Dallas on August 29. Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 78°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, consistent with elevated dew points and light southerly winds that limited radiational cooling under clear skies. Model guidance and climatological analogs for late-August heat regimes supported this range, well above the 1991-2020 normal low of 75°F. The positioning could have been challenged only by an unexpected surge in moisture, increased cloud cover, or stronger winds—none of which materialized in the final forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Dallas am 29. August?
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 7%
74-75°F 1%
76-77°F 1%
$2,009 Vol.
$2,009 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 7%
74-75°F 1%
76-77°F 1%
$2,009 Vol.
$2,009 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot, dry conditions across North Texas, with a multi-week heat wave featuring daytime highs near or above 100°F and minimal overnight cooling, drove the strong market consensus around an 80-81°F low for Dallas on August 29. Official National Weather Service observations recorded a minimum of 78°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, consistent with elevated dew points and light southerly winds that limited radiational cooling under clear skies. Model guidance and climatological analogs for late-August heat regimes supported this range, well above the 1991-2020 normal low of 75°F. The positioning could have been challenged only by an unexpected surge in moisture, increased cloud cover, or stronger winds—none of which materialized in the final forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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