Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance show Denver’s August 31 high centered near 85°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus places the 82–85°F bins as the clear market leaders, as convection could trim peak heating while abundant moisture and light winds limit overnight cooling. Recent upstream moisture advection has increased storm potential compared with drier conditions earlier in the week, introducing modest downside risk to the upper 80s. Traders weigh the official NWS point forecast against ensemble spread in high-resolution models, noting that any earlier or more widespread storms would favor the 82–83°F outcome while delayed or isolated activity supports 84–85°F. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from Denver-area stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Denver am 31. August?
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 11%
86–87°F 11%
71°F oder niedriger
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
34%
86–87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90°F oder höher
1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 11%
86–87°F 11%
71°F oder niedriger
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
34%
86–87°F
11%
88-89°F
2%
90°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance show Denver’s August 31 high centered near 85°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus places the 82–85°F bins as the clear market leaders, as convection could trim peak heating while abundant moisture and light winds limit overnight cooling. Recent upstream moisture advection has increased storm potential compared with drier conditions earlier in the week, introducing modest downside risk to the upper 80s. Traders weigh the official NWS point forecast against ensemble spread in high-resolution models, noting that any earlier or more widespread storms would favor the 82–83°F outcome while delayed or isolated activity supports 84–85°F. Resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum from Denver-area stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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