Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 24°C for Toronto on August 31 amid showers and a risk of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 24.6°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching system are suppressing maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the tight market spread between 23°C and 24°C implied probabilities. Minor differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, or boundary-layer mixing across model runs account for the near-even split, while historical analogs show similar late-August setups often peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under comparable conditions. Updated Environment Canada guidance and overnight model consensus will be key near-term drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 31. August?
23°C 34%
24°C 33%
22°C 21%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
21%
23°C
34%
24°C
33%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 33%
22°C 21%
21°C 8%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$278 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$148 Vol.
1%
20°C
$59 Vol.
2%
21°C
$722 Vol.
8%
22°C
$640 Vol.
21%
23°C
$846 Vol.
34%
24°C
$1,425 Vol.
33%
25°C
$336 Vol.
5%
26°C
$188 Vol.
1%
27°C oder höher
$333 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 24°C for Toronto on August 31 amid showers and a risk of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 24.6°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching system are suppressing maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the tight market spread between 23°C and 24°C implied probabilities. Minor differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, or boundary-layer mixing across model runs account for the near-even split, while historical analogs show similar late-August setups often peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under comparable conditions. Updated Environment Canada guidance and overnight model consensus will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$5,203Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 24°C for Toronto on August 31 amid showers and a risk of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 24.6°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching system are suppressing maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the tight market spread between 23°C and 24°C implied probabilities. Minor differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, or boundary-layer mixing across model runs account for the near-even split, while historical analogs show similar late-August setups often peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under comparable conditions. Updated Environment Canada guidance and overnight model consensus will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,203Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 24°C for Toronto on August 31 amid showers and a risk of afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the seasonal average of 24.6°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from an approaching system are suppressing maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, creating the tight market spread between 23°C and 24°C implied probabilities. Minor differences in shower timing, cloud thickness, or boundary-layer mixing across model runs account for the near-even split, while historical analogs show similar late-August setups often peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under comparable conditions. Updated Environment Canada guidance and overnight model consensus will be key near-term drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen