Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 29. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 29. August?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$41,725 Vol.
$41,725 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$41,725 Vol.
$41,725 Vol.
29. Aug. 2026
25°C or below
$638 Vol.
No
26°C
$321 Vol.
No
27°C
$727 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,473 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,834 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,955 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$12,106 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,775 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,923 Vol.
No
34°C
$937 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$1,036 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$41,725Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41,725Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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