**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid on August 30, 2026, with 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects AEMET forecasts and real-time observations showing maxima of 32–33°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and no precipitation. Madrid (Retiro station) reached 31.1°C by 17:00 local time, with regional highs around 33°C in areas like Aranjuez and Getafe and slightly higher (up to 34°C) in spots like Alcalá de Henares. Stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal late-August insolation have driven a modest temperature recovery, consistent with model runs and historical norms for the period. The market-implied odds align with official guidance projecting a peak near or at 33°C without extremes. Very low probabilities for 34°C+ or 32°C and below account for minor forecast uncertainty or station-specific readings. Realistic challenges to the 33°C outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or a sharper wind shift that could cap the high at 32°C, though current data from AEMET and multiple models show low likelihood of deviation before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 30. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 30. August?
33°C 94%
34°C 7%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$26,376 Vol.
$26,376 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
94%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 94%
34°C 7%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$26,376 Vol.
$26,376 Vol.
30. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,069 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,400 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,967 Vol.
94%
34°C
$6,224 Vol.
7%
35°C
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid on August 30, 2026, with 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects AEMET forecasts and real-time observations showing maxima of 32–33°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and no precipitation. Madrid (Retiro station) reached 31.1°C by 17:00 local time, with regional highs around 33°C in areas like Aranjuez and Getafe and slightly higher (up to 34°C) in spots like Alcalá de Henares. Stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal late-August insolation have driven a modest temperature recovery, consistent with model runs and historical norms for the period.
The market-implied odds align with official guidance projecting a peak near or at 33°C without extremes. Very low probabilities for 34°C+ or 32°C and below account for minor forecast uncertainty or station-specific readings. Realistic challenges to the 33°C outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or a sharper wind shift that could cap the high at 32°C, though current data from AEMET and multiple models show low likelihood of deviation before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$26,376Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid on August 30, 2026, with 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects AEMET forecasts and real-time observations showing maxima of 32–33°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and no precipitation. Madrid (Retiro station) reached 31.1°C by 17:00 local time, with regional highs around 33°C in areas like Aranjuez and Getafe and slightly higher (up to 34°C) in spots like Alcalá de Henares. Stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal late-August insolation have driven a modest temperature recovery, consistent with model runs and historical norms for the period.
The market-implied odds align with official guidance projecting a peak near or at 33°C without extremes. Very low probabilities for 34°C+ or 32°C and below account for minor forecast uncertainty or station-specific readings. Realistic challenges to the 33°C outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or a sharper wind shift that could cap the high at 32°C, though current data from AEMET and multiple models show low likelihood of deviation before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$26,376Enddatum
30. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as the day's peak temperature in Madrid on August 30, 2026, with 93.5% implied probability.** This reflects AEMET forecasts and real-time observations showing maxima of 32–33°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and no precipitation. Madrid (Retiro station) reached 31.1°C by 17:00 local time, with regional highs around 33°C in areas like Aranjuez and Getafe and slightly higher (up to 34°C) in spots like Alcalá de Henares. Stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal late-August insolation have driven a modest temperature recovery, consistent with model runs and historical norms for the period. The market-implied odds align with official guidance projecting a peak near or at 33°C without extremes. Very low probabilities for 34°C+ or 32°C and below account for minor forecast uncertainty or station-specific readings. Realistic challenges to the 33°C outcome include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or a sharper wind shift that could cap the high at 32°C, though current data from AEMET and multiple models show low likelihood of deviation before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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