National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago project overnight lows near 60–61°F on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable atmospheric conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with 1991–2020 August climatological normals of roughly 64°F for daily lows while reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability on the 60–61°F bin reflects this strong forecast alignment and the narrow resolution window for official minimum readings. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, a late frontal passage, or measurement adjustments at primary stations, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 23. August?
60-61 °F 96%
58-59°F 20%
54-55°F 11%
56-57°F 11%
$1,223 Vol.
$1,223 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
51°F oder weniger
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
11%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
20%
60-61 °F
96%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F oder höher
<1%
60-61 °F 96%
58-59°F 20%
54-55°F 11%
56-57°F 11%
$1,223 Vol.
$1,223 Vol.
23. Aug. 2026
51°F oder weniger
$117 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$148 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
11%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
11%
58-59°F
$27 Vol.
20%
60-61 °F
$220 Vol.
96%
62-63°F
$120 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$100 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$180 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
70°F oder höher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago project overnight lows near 60–61°F on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable atmospheric conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with 1991–2020 August climatological normals of roughly 64°F for daily lows while reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability on the 60–61°F bin reflects this strong forecast alignment and the narrow resolution window for official minimum readings. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, a late frontal passage, or measurement adjustments at primary stations, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$1,223Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago project overnight lows near 60–61°F on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable atmospheric conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with 1991–2020 August climatological normals of roughly 64°F for daily lows while reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability on the 60–61°F bin reflects this strong forecast alignment and the narrow resolution window for official minimum readings. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, a late frontal passage, or measurement adjustments at primary stations, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,223Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago project overnight lows near 60–61°F on August 23, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable atmospheric conditions that limit radiational cooling. This aligns closely with 1991–2020 August climatological normals of roughly 64°F for daily lows while reflecting model consensus from recent runs showing minimal deviation. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability on the 60–61°F bin reflects this strong forecast alignment and the narrow resolution window for official minimum readings. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unexpected cloud cover reducing cooling, a late frontal passage, or measurement adjustments at primary stations, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such changes before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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