Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in strong prior support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates, combined with its rural and energy-producing character along the Gulf Coast and into East Texas, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP. Redistricting adjustments have preserved this partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable campaign developments since the filing period has reinforced trader consensus around the seat's safety. A major personal scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given structural factors and historical turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,125 交易量
$28,125 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$28,125 交易量
$28,125 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,235 交易量
93%
民主党
$19,890 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in strong prior support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates, combined with its rural and energy-producing character along the Gulf Coast and into East Texas, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP. Redistricting adjustments have preserved this partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable campaign developments since the filing period has reinforced trader consensus around the seat's safety. A major personal scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given structural factors and historical turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$28,125结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in strong prior support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates, combined with its rural and energy-producing character along the Gulf Coast and into East Texas, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP. Redistricting adjustments have preserved this partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable campaign developments since the filing period has reinforced trader consensus around the seat's safety. A major personal scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given structural factors and historical turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,125结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 81 percent of the vote in Texas's 36th congressional district, facing Democratic nominee Rhonda Hart in the November general election. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in strong prior support for Republican presidential and Senate candidates, combined with its rural and energy-producing character along the Gulf Coast and into East Texas, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward the GOP. Redistricting adjustments have preserved this partisan composition, and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable campaign developments since the filing period has reinforced trader consensus around the seat's safety. A major personal scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given structural factors and historical turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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