Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show minimum temperatures near 24–25°C on August 20–21 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 75%, consistent with typical late-summer conditions. These patterns, reinforced by urban heat island effects from concrete infrastructure that limit nocturnal cooling, position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes in the market. No incoming cold fronts or typhoon activity appear likely to drive sharper drops, while model consensus from regional guidance keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observational data on the 21st.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日东京气温最低？
8月21日东京气温最低？
26°C 53%
25°C 35%
27°C 7%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
35%
26°C
53%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 35%
27°C 7%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
21°C或以下
$24 交易量
1%
22°C
$39 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$49 交易量
4%
25°C
$93 交易量
35%
26°C
$658 交易量
53%
27°C
$200 交易量
7%
28°C
$73 交易量
2%
29°C
$19 交易量
1%
30°C
$31 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show minimum temperatures near 24–25°C on August 20–21 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 75%, consistent with typical late-summer conditions. These patterns, reinforced by urban heat island effects from concrete infrastructure that limit nocturnal cooling, position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes in the market. No incoming cold fronts or typhoon activity appear likely to drive sharper drops, while model consensus from regional guidance keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observational data on the 21st.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,224结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show minimum temperatures near 24–25°C on August 20–21 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 75%, consistent with typical late-summer conditions. These patterns, reinforced by urban heat island effects from concrete infrastructure that limit nocturnal cooling, position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes in the market. No incoming cold fronts or typhoon activity appear likely to drive sharper drops, while model consensus from regional guidance keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observational data on the 21st.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,224结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show minimum temperatures near 24–25°C on August 20–21 under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and high humidity near 75%, consistent with typical late-summer conditions. These patterns, reinforced by urban heat island effects from concrete infrastructure that limit nocturnal cooling, position 25–26°C as the leading outcomes in the market. No incoming cold fronts or typhoon activity appear likely to drive sharper drops, while model consensus from regional guidance keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow range ahead of final observational data on the 21st.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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