Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will see highs near 31–33°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover likely to cap peaks. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as even modest shifts in timing or intensity of convective activity could push the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, while short-range model runs show limited spread, sustaining balanced trader positioning around the 32–34°C cluster until fresher guidance emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日北京气温最高？
8月21日北京气温最高？
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
27°C or below
$17 交易量
<1%
28°C
$13 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$46 交易量
5%
31°C
$27 交易量
7%
32°C
$24 交易量
22%
33°C
$53 交易量
27%
34°C
$12 交易量
27%
35°C
$178 交易量
9%
36°C
$72 交易量
6%
37°C or higher
$10 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will see highs near 31–33°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover likely to cap peaks. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as even modest shifts in timing or intensity of convective activity could push the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, while short-range model runs show limited spread, sustaining balanced trader positioning around the 32–34°C cluster until fresher guidance emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$452结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will see highs near 31–33°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover likely to cap peaks. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as even modest shifts in timing or intensity of convective activity could push the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, while short-range model runs show limited spread, sustaining balanced trader positioning around the 32–34°C cluster until fresher guidance emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$452结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Beijing will see highs near 31–33°C on August 21 amid typical late-summer monsoon influences, with isolated thunderstorms and variable cloud cover likely to cap peaks. These conditions create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes, as even modest shifts in timing or intensity of convective activity could push the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide a baseline, while short-range model runs show limited spread, sustaining balanced trader positioning around the 32–34°C cluster until fresher guidance emerges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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