Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日圣保罗最低温度？
9月19日圣保罗最低温度？
11°C或以下 100%
21°C或更高 98%
16°C 40%
13°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
100%
12°C
17%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
38%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C或更高
98%
11°C或以下 100%
21°C或更高 98%
16°C 40%
13°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
12°C
$0 交易量
17%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
38%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
16%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C或更高
$100 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
交易量
$100结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$100结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETTrader sentiment shows near-even odds between 11°C or below and 21°C or higher because short-range forecast models diverge on whether a reinforcing cold air mass or warmer subtropical flow will dominate Sao Paulo overnight. Ensemble guidance from global systems highlights sensitivity to the exact position and timing of a frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge, with minimum temperatures highly responsive to cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology places typical daily lows near 15–18°C, so both cooler and warmer extremes remain within historical variability. Resolution depends on official station readings, and updated model cycles or observational data over the next 24 hours could quickly shift the balance as the event window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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