Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日巴黎最低气温？
8月7日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 45%
13°C 20%
11°C 18%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
9°C或以下
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
18%
12°C
45%
13°C
20%
14°C
10%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
<1%
12°C 45%
13°C 20%
11°C 18%
14°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
9°C或以下
$244 交易量
1%
10°C
$163 交易量
2%
11°C
$189 交易量
18%
12°C
$452 交易量
45%
13°C
$290 交易量
20%
14°C
$116 交易量
10%
15°C
$816 交易量
9%
16°C
$1,462 交易量
1%
17°C
$1,141 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,205 交易量
1%
19°C或更高
$1,088 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,166结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,166结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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