Recent Atlantic maritime air advection has introduced modest cooling to northern France, positioning Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble models to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will primarily differentiate outcomes by modulating radiative cooling: clearer skies promote greater heat loss and lower minima near 17°C, while increased moisture or breezes limit the drop toward 19°C. This follows a period of warmer conditions, with official guidance highlighting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific range, where small forecast revisions in steering patterns or nocturnal stability could shift resolution between the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日巴黎最低气温？
8月19日巴黎最低气温？
19°C 35%
18°C 29%
17°C 16%
20°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
29%
19°C
35%
20°C
16%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C或更高
<1%
19°C 35%
18°C 29%
17°C 16%
20°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
13°C或以下
$79 交易量
<1%
14°C
$79 交易量
1%
15°C
$244 交易量
2%
16°C
$311 交易量
5%
17°C
$270 交易量
16%
18°C
$255 交易量
29%
19°C
$852 交易量
35%
20°C
$311 交易量
16%
21°C
$1,064 交易量
1%
22°C
$84 交易量
<1%
23°C或更高
$110 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic maritime air advection has introduced modest cooling to northern France, positioning Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble models to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will primarily differentiate outcomes by modulating radiative cooling: clearer skies promote greater heat loss and lower minima near 17°C, while increased moisture or breezes limit the drop toward 19°C. This follows a period of warmer conditions, with official guidance highlighting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific range, where small forecast revisions in steering patterns or nocturnal stability could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,650结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic maritime air advection has introduced modest cooling to northern France, positioning Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble models to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will primarily differentiate outcomes by modulating radiative cooling: clearer skies promote greater heat loss and lower minima near 17°C, while increased moisture or breezes limit the drop toward 19°C. This follows a period of warmer conditions, with official guidance highlighting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific range, where small forecast revisions in steering patterns or nocturnal stability could shift resolution between the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,650结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Atlantic maritime air advection has introduced modest cooling to northern France, positioning Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble models to favor overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 19. Variable cloud cover and light winds will primarily differentiate outcomes by modulating radiative cooling: clearer skies promote greater heat loss and lower minima near 17°C, while increased moisture or breezes limit the drop toward 19°C. This follows a period of warmer conditions, with official guidance highlighting uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks and boundary-layer moisture. Market-implied odds reflect this tight scientific range, where small forecast revisions in steering patterns or nocturnal stability could shift resolution between the leading bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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