Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日巴黎最低气温？
8月18日巴黎最低气温？
20°C 97%
19°C 4%
18°C <1%
15°C或以下 <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
20°C 97%
19°C 4%
18°C <1%
15°C或以下 <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
15°C或以下
$728 交易量
<1%
16°C
$460 交易量
<1%
17°C
$798 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,517 交易量
1%
19°C
$1,356 交易量
4%
20°C
$906 交易量
97%
21°C
$505 交易量
<1%
22°C
$289 交易量
<1%
23°C
$320 交易量
<1%
24°C
$910 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$966 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$8,756结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,756结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF show Paris under stable high pressure with light winds and partly cloudy skies on August 18, supporting overnight minimum temperatures near 20°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average August lows typically range 15–18°C but current model runs indicate milder conditions without significant cooling advection. Trader consensus at 93.5% for 20°C reflects this model agreement and limited uncertainty in the short-term forecast window. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected frontal passage or rapid radiational cooling under clearer skies, though both appear low-probability given the consensus guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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