Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月24日马尼拉的最低温度？
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
26%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C或更高
-
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
$222 交易量
1%
22°C
$145 交易量
6%
23°C
$26 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
28%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$0 交易量
28%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$5 交易量
27%
30°C
$23 交易量
3%
31°C或更高
$162 交易量
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$583结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$583结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent monsoon-driven conditions over Metro Manila, including scattered rains and thunderstorms under the southwest monsoon (habagat), create the main uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market probabilities. Official PAGASA outlooks and model guidance indicate typical overnight lows near 25°C, but variations in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and localized wind patterns can shift the minimum by several degrees. High humidity and potential for clearer intervals overnight enhance radiative cooling potential, while persistent cloudiness or late-day heating supports higher readings. Historical August averages of 24–26°C provide context, yet traders price in forecast spread from evolving model runs ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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