Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 point to sunny periods with a few showers under a southwesterly airstream, producing overnight lows near 27–28°C that anchor the closely bunched market odds. Light winds limit boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling, while high humidity and urban heat retention keep minima from dropping further, explaining why 26°C and 28°C outcomes trade within a few percentage points. Seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures and typical South China Sea monsoon patterns this time of year reinforce the narrow spread, with model runs still sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日香港最低气温？
8月16日香港最低气温？
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
26°C 29%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
34%
28°C
36%
29°C
25%
30°C
25%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
28°C 36%
27°C 34%
26°C 29%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C或以下
$68 交易量
4%
24°C
$143 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
34%
28°C
$0 交易量
36%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$0 交易量
25%
31°C
$37 交易量
1%
32°C
$37 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$37 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 point to sunny periods with a few showers under a southwesterly airstream, producing overnight lows near 27–28°C that anchor the closely bunched market odds. Light winds limit boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling, while high humidity and urban heat retention keep minima from dropping further, explaining why 26°C and 28°C outcomes trade within a few percentage points. Seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures and typical South China Sea monsoon patterns this time of year reinforce the narrow spread, with model runs still sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$322结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 point to sunny periods with a few showers under a southwesterly airstream, producing overnight lows near 27–28°C that anchor the closely bunched market odds. Light winds limit boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling, while high humidity and urban heat retention keep minima from dropping further, explaining why 26°C and 28°C outcomes trade within a few percentage points. Seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures and typical South China Sea monsoon patterns this time of year reinforce the narrow spread, with model runs still sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$322结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 point to sunny periods with a few showers under a southwesterly airstream, producing overnight lows near 27–28°C that anchor the closely bunched market odds. Light winds limit boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling, while high humidity and urban heat retention keep minima from dropping further, explaining why 26°C and 28°C outcomes trade within a few percentage points. Seasonal guidance of normal-to-above-normal temperatures and typical South China Sea monsoon patterns this time of year reinforce the narrow spread, with model runs still sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or onshore flow before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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