**Recent stabilization under building high pressure after a mid-August storm system has produced closely matched trader odds, with 7°C or below at 49.5% and 17°C or higher at 48.5%.** Current official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models points to a minimum near 12–14°C on August 26 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, favoring the middle resolution bands (8–16°C each at 24.5%). Key drivers include radiative cooling overnight once the recent low-pressure system and associated cloud cover/rain depart, combined with a mild maritime air mass over the Baltic that limits strong nocturnal drops. Historical August climatology for Helsinki shows typical overnight minima of 10–14°C, and no polar or Arctic air intrusion is forecast. Model consensus remains tight on the timing of high-pressure ridging, but small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact low by 2–3°C, sustaining the near-even split between the tail outcomes. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日赫尔辛基最低气温?
7°C or below 94%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
7°C or below
94%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
37%
15°C
2%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
55%
7°C or below 94%
17°C or higher 55%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
7°C or below
94%
8°C
48%
9°C
48%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
37%
15°C
2%
16°C
37%
17°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent stabilization under building high pressure after a mid-August storm system has produced closely matched trader odds, with 7°C or below at 49.5% and 17°C or higher at 48.5%.** Current official guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models points to a minimum near 12–14°C on August 26 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, favoring the middle resolution bands (8–16°C each at 24.5%). Key drivers include radiative cooling overnight once the recent low-pressure system and associated cloud cover/rain depart, combined with a mild maritime air mass over the Baltic that limits strong nocturnal drops. Historical August climatology for Helsinki shows typical overnight minima of 10–14°C, and no polar or Arctic air intrusion is forecast. Model consensus remains tight on the timing of high-pressure ridging, but small differences in cloud cover or wind speed could shift the exact low by 2–3°C, sustaining the near-even split between the tail outcomes. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题